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更新时间:2022年01月18日 03:26

上海花千坊1314

Wind and cloud of always of Thailand political field is changeful, delicacy has a government to be able to succeed Ren Man 4 years. Afte

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r experiencing calm of two years, thailand is entered again new round queasy period, but the political situation trend henceforth still is put in a lot of variable. Analytic personage thinks, before current condition and this several " red unlined upper garment army " and " yellow unlined upper garment army " assembly antagonism be exactly the same. As oppose governmental put on a show of force ceaseless Xiang Mangu many areas diffuse, bring about both sides very easily " the fire accidentally that brush a gun " .

Su

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spense one: Flower help a government whether prop up

The controversy that Thailand congress commons reachs 26 days 27 days to fall to be aimed at the no-confidence motion that premier flower pulls to have by a definite date two days to in exact security measure, and will at 28 days namely the last day with congress sessional epicycle is held voting. Although depending on the palm to commons to accuse, the party that it is peaceful can overrule this no-confidence motion that offers by the the Democratic Party easily completely, but opposition is very difficult at this point be apt to stops be willing to give up. Analytic personage thinks, be immersed in predicament flower pull governmental room for manoeuvre smaller and smaller.

The element that is scholar of law politics university together pulls Ji to think, go two years flower the achievement in one's post that pull can be encircled can nod, politics is relatively stable, economy grows steadily, government office of the party card that it is peaceful had built base of certain mainstream popular wishes, even if by the the Democratic Party " force the king or emperor to abdicate " fall horse, stage a comeback also is not tickler.

Suspense 2:

Whether does street force repeat

Although up to 26 days, in the light of flower the street protest that draws a government has not cause force to bleed incident, but partial area occurrence rough stuff.

Notable is, nearly a few days more and more " red unlined upper garment army " building up to Bangkok, "Red unlined upper garment army " leader expresses, they already had been done guard flower the preparation that helps a government.

In analyst boast benefit inferior look, thailand appears unlikelily the situation that two cliques people confronted each other in street force 2010. Because of what be on street nowadays it is to object the people that he believes ex-premier in those days almost. "Bangkok is to be in office instead the base camp of party display one's strength, " boast benefit inferior say, "Thailand is other the place is different, those local or are ex-premier his letter · covers with tiles then on the west of the proponent ' domain ' , or maintains politics indifferent. Or maintains politics indifferent..

Suspense 3:

Whether can the army intervene

As political situation queasy, appeared again the hearsay of military coup d'etat. Thailand soldier element has dry politics traditional, in the past military coup d'etat or abortive coup were launched 18 times in 81 years. Research center of southeast Asia of Japanese Kyoto university is famous scholastic handkerchief article thinks, be in next in period of time, opposition public figure may use up his can the ground enlarges the scale that opposes governmental activity and measure, expecting to let condition develop flower pull the rate that faint palm charges the government, stimulate the army to intervene then, end with the means of military coup d'etat again " the political power that he believes a leader to fall " .

Flower since pulling a government to appear on the stage the relation of active improvement and army, near future of army high level makes known his position to won't launch coup for many times. An officer that does not wish to disclose a full name tells a reporter, the army that defends Bangkok is paying close attention to condition closely to develop at present, but heretofore did not receive any actions to dictate.

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