odds: World Series futures, win totals, top player props for 2020 season

Baseball The 2020 Major League Baseball season has turned the usual marathon into a 60-game sprint. With the COVID-19 pandemic postponing the season by more than four months, only a little more than third of the regular schedule will be played before the postseason begins.A two-month hot start will now mean the same thing as a two-month hot finish. The short-terming would seem to favor the more established winning teams vs. upstart clubs, but there's bound to be more unpredictability with batter and pitching performances, too, with a smaller sample size. That makes the odds a lot more interesting for 2020, from World Series futures to team win totals to individual player props. Here's breaking down some of the better bets, with lines courtesy of SportsInsider.com:MORE: Which free-agent signings will help most in 2020? Futures for 2020Odds to win World SeriesLos Angeles Dodgers +400New York Yankees +400Houston Astros +1000Minnesota Twins +1600Tampa Bay Rays +1800Atlanta Braves +2000Cincinnati Reds +2000Oakland Athletics +2000New York Mets +2200Chicago Cubs +2500Chicago White Sox +2500Washington Nationals +2500Cleveland Indians +2800St.Louis Cardinals +2800Los Angeles Angels +3000Milwaukee Brewers +3000Philadelphia Phillies +3000San Diego Padres +3000Arizona Diamondbacks +5000Boston Red Sox +5000The Dodgers and Yankees are heavy favorites, but the Rays and A's are better plays for payouts as it feels like a team from that top eight will win it all. The Reds, after their spending spree, have emerged as the sleeper darlings of the NL.Odds to win American LeagueNew York Yankees +210Houston Astros +450Minnesota Twins +800Oakland Athletics +1000Tampa Bay Rays +1000Chicago White Sox +1200Cleveland Indians +1500Los Angeles Angels +1600Boston Red Sox +2500Given that there's not much separation for the Twins here from the Athletics and Rays, and given that they are a more surefire division winner to be in the postseason tournament, hedge toward Minnesota here away from the Yankees and Astros.Odds to win National LeagueLos Angeles Dodgers +175Atlanta Braves +800New York Mets +1000Washington Nationals +1000Cincinnati Reds +1100St. Louis Cardinals +1200Milwaukee Brewers +1400Chicago Cubs +1500Philadelphia Phillies +1600San Diego Padres +2000Arizona Diamondbacks +2500So this should indicate to you that the NL Central is the division with the widest range of outcomes regarding the winner and potential wild card. The Reds are better with which to take a World Series shot, but still, the consensus is that the Cardinals and Brewers are "safer" bets to make the postseason and create some "devil magic."World Series exact matchupNew York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers +550Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Dodgers +1400Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Dodgers +2200Oakland Athletics vs Los Angeles Dodgers +2400Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Dodgers +2400New York Yankees vs Atlanta Braves +2500Chicago White Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers +2800New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals +2800New York Yankees vs New York Mets +3000Cleveland Indians vs Los Angeles Dodgers +3300Los Angeles Angels vs Los Angeles Dodgers +3300New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds +3300New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals +3300New York Yankees vs Chicago Cubs +4000Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers +5000Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves +5000New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies +5000Here, let's pull in the favorites in both the NL (Dodgers) and AL (Yankees) and combine them with two of the sleepers mentioned above to maximize the odds on both sides of the matchup. team wins in 2020Based on the over/unders for every team's regular-season win totals in 2020, here are the best bets:Arizona DiamondbacksOver 30½ Wins -130Under 30½ Wins +100Madison Bumgarner puts some gloss on them, but it's easier to believe they will finish a shade under .500.Atlanta BravesOver 33½ Wins -115Under 33½ Wins -115With Freddie Freeman getting a late start to summer re-training after having COVID-19, that number could be harder to reach in a division with the Mets and Nationals.Boston Red SoxUnder 30½ Wins -145Over 30½ Wins +115This one is close, but there's a good chance the Red Sox can eke out 31 wins to match their 2019 winning percentage.Cincinnati RedsOver 31½ Wins -130Under 31½ Wins +100Based on giving them some World Series future love, it makes sense for them to at least live up to the hype four games above .500.Detroit TigersOver 22½ Wins -120Under 22½ Wins -110The Tigers were really bad in 2019, but with a shorter window of futility they can avoid being 16 games below .500.Houston AstrosOver 34½ Wins -115Under 34½ Wins -115This feels a little inflated given the bad vibes going into the season and the Athletics being formidable again.Los Angeles AngelsUnder 31½ Wins -125Over 31½ Wins -105With Joe Maddon, Mike Trout and Anthony Rendon, there's some marquee talent here, but we know how that plays out with the Astros and Athletics.Los Angeles DodgersUnder 37½ Wins -130Over 37½ Wins +100The Dodgers have a pretty massive total here for 38-22, but if there's any team that can win 40 games in 2020, it would be them.Milwaukee BrewersOver 31½ Wins -115Under 31½ Wins -115The Brewers are being devalued too much for their offseason losses and could easily win the NL Central.New York YankeesOver 36½ Wins -125Under 36½ Wins -105A 36-24 mark would still be very healthy in the AL, so taking the slight under here.Oakland AthleticsOver 33½ Wins -115Under 33½ Wins -115Is this the year they propel over the Astros and actually win in the playoffs? That's a pretty reasonable number with which to work.Philadelphia PhilliesUnder 30½ Wins -125Over 30½ Wins -105There's too much of a crowd in the NL East to think they can get here behind the Braves, Mets and Nationals. player futures for 2020AL MVPMike Trout +140Gleyber Torres +1000Aaron Judge +1200Alex Bregman +1200Francisco Lindor +1500Rafael Devers +1500Shohei Ohtani +1600Matt Chapman +1800Anthony Rendon +2000Yoan Moncada +2000DJ LeMaheiu +2500Josh Donaldson +2500Jose Ramirez +3000Austin Meadows +4000Gerrit Cole +4000JD Martinez +4000Jorge Polanco +4000Jose Altuve +4000Marcus Semien +4000Vladimir Guerrero +4000Yordan Alvarez +4000Trout has yet to repeat in his terrific career and the odds make it boring, anyway. Judge and Torres can do major equal damage hitting back to back for the Yankees. But Chapman, the clear most valuable Athletic with his offense and defenses, tends to rip it up at the plate in August. He brings a nice return just outside of the favorites.NL MVPRonald Acuna Jr +400Christian Yelich +450Mookie Betts +600Juan Soto +800Cody Bellinger +900Fernando Tatis Jr +900Bryce Harper +1500Nolan Arenado +1600Javier Baez +2200Freddie Freeman +2500Ketel Marte +2500Kris Bryant +2500Paul Goldschmidt +2500Pete Alonso +2500Acuna is a solid favorite to put the money on and run with decent return. With Rendon and Ryan Zimmerman not in there for Washington, watch for Soto to have a more standout, special season at 21. There's too much competition for Yelich and Bellinger to follow their respective 2018 and 2019 wins. Home Run KingJoey Gallo +850Mike Trout +1000Pete Alonso +1000Yordan Alvarez +1000Aaron Judge +1200Cody Bellinger +1600Giancarlo Stanton +1600Bryce Harper +2000Eugenio Suarez +2000Franmil Reyes +2000Matt Olson +2000Nelson Cruz +2000Christian Yelich +2200Miguel Sano +2200Ronald Acuna Jr +2200Eloy Jimenez +2500JD Martinez +2500Jorge Soler +2500Josh Donaldson +2500Khris Davis +2500Nolan Arenado +2500Vladimir Guerrero Jr +2500Gallo is the favorite for hitting 22 home runs in 70 games last season. This is all about who can put together two massive months and likely get to 20 in 60 games after Alonso's winning pace was one homer per three games. A healthy Judge has immediate appeal. Then consider that both Cruz and Yelich homered in 34 percent of their games played last season.AL Cy YoungGerrit Cole +250Justin Verlander +500Shane Bieber +550Lucas Giolito +900Charlie Morton +1400Jose Berrios +1400Mike Clevinger +1400Tyler Glasnow +1400Blake Snell +1600Corey Kluber +1800Zack Greinke +1800James Paxton +2000Luis Severino +2000Frankie Monta

s +3000Shohei Ohtani +3000Dallas Keuchel +3217Hyun-Jin Ryu +3300Sean Manaea +3300The Yankees have their shiny new favorite and Cole seems primed for his Cy after leading the AL in ERA last season. Watch out for the pair of Rays, Morton and Glasnow, playing spoiler.NL Cy YoungJacob DeGrom +350Walker Buehler +600Max Scherzer +700Jack Flaherty +800Stephen Strasburg +900Yu Darvish +1000Luis Castillo +1400Patrick Corbin +1400Noah Syndergaard +1800Clayton Kershaw +2000Trevor Bauer +2000Zach Wheeler +2000Aaron Nola +2500Chris Paddack +2500Brandon Woodruff +2800Mike Soroka +2800Sonny Gray +2800Going Buehler over DeGrom at the top makes sense for much more return. Flaherty has the kind of stuff to also be a solid pick.AL Rookie of the YearLuis Robert +250Jesus Luzardo +400Brendan McKay +600Casey Mize +1000Jo Adell +1100A.J. Puk +1800Evan White +1800Forrest Whitley +2000Nate Pearson +2200Wander Franco +2500Deivi Garcia +3300Nick Madrigal +3300Ryan Mountcastle +3300Clarke Schmidt +4000Brady Singer +5000Logan Gilbert +5000Sean Murphy +5000Let's go with what the eyes already tell us, that this comes down to the Cuban White Sox outfielder and the Peruvian Athletics pitcher. Don't totally sleep on Pearson pitching the Blue Jays close to .500.NL Rookie of the YearGavin Lux +200Mitch Keller +750Dylan Carlson +900Carter Kieboom +1000Dustin May +1200MacKenzie Gore +1200Brendan Rogers +1500Cristian Pache +2000Joey Bart +2000KeBryan Hayes +2000Kyle Wright +2000Nico Hoerner +2000Sixto Sanchez +2000Jon Duplantier +2500Alec Bohm +3300Daulton Varsho +3300Spencer Howard +4000The shortstop Lux is a big favorite to continue the Dodgers' big-time ROTY tradition, but the field has too many guys who can spoil, with pitchers Gore (Padres) and Wright (Braves) standing out in good spots. season specials in 2020Most Home RunsOver 20½ Home Runs -150Under 20½ Home Runs +120Someone will be tearing it up in the hottest part of the year with a well-rested bat ready to rip. Judge seems like the guy to make it happen.Player to hit .400 or betterNo -700Yes +500It's fair to say 200 at-bats will be a healthy number over 60 games, which means someone will need to bang out at least 80 hits, averaging 1.5 per game. That's an equivalent of 243 in 162 games, and only two players, Devers and Whit Merrifield, broke 200 hits in 2019. Asterisk or not, Ted Williams is easily safe for another year.

About the Author

You may also like these